{"id":6761,"date":"2026-03-10T10:28:08","date_gmt":"2026-03-10T10:28:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/jubaglobal.com\/?p=6761"},"modified":"2026-03-10T10:28:09","modified_gmt":"2026-03-10T10:28:09","slug":"oil-prices-surge-to-120-barrel-as-iran-war-threatens-strait-of-hormuz-supply-routes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/directtopic.com\/jubaglobal.com\/oil-prices-surge-to-120-barrel-as-iran-war-threatens-strait-of-hormuz-supply-routes\/","title":{"rendered":"Oil Prices Surge to $120\/Barrel as Iran War Threatens Strait of Hormuz Supply Routes"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1320\" height=\"1320\" src=\"https:\/\/directtopic.com\/jubaglobal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1977\/2026\/03\/IMG_3683.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-6762\" srcset=\"https:\/\/directtopic.com\/jubaglobal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1977\/2026\/03\/IMG_3683.jpeg 1320w, https:\/\/directtopic.com\/jubaglobal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1977\/2026\/03\/IMG_3683-768x768.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/directtopic.com\/jubaglobal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1977\/2026\/03\/IMG_3683-1024x1024.jpeg 1024w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1320px) 100vw, 1320px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>By Juba Global News Network | JubaGlobal.comMarch 10, 2026<br>The ongoing U.S.-Israel war with Iran, now in its second week, has unleashed the most severe energy supply shock in modern history, sending global oil prices soaring and rattling economies worldwide. Brent crude, the international benchmark, briefly spiked to nearly $120 per barrel in early trading on March 9 before volatile swings saw it settle around $93\u2013$99 by March 10. This dramatic surge stems directly from the effective closure of the <strong>Strait of Hormuz<\/strong>, the narrow chokepoint through which approximately 20% of the world\u2019s seaborne crude oil\u2014around 20 million barrels per day\u2014normally flows, along with a significant share of liquefied natural gas (LNG).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The Strait of Hormuz: The World\u2019s Most Critical Energy Artery Under Siege<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Located between Iran and Oman, the Strait of Hormuz connects the Persian Gulf\u2019s oil-rich producers (Saudi Arabia, Iraq, UAE, Kuwait, Qatar, and Iran itself) to global markets. Since the conflict escalated following U.S. and Israeli strikes beginning February 28, Iran has declared the strait off-limits to \u201chostile\u201d vessels, backed by drone and missile threats that have deterred commercial shipping. Ship-tracking data from firms like Vortexa and Lloyd\u2019s List Intelligence shows daily transits plummeting from over 150 vessels pre-war to an average of just 13 or fewer in recent days\u2014an 80\u201390% drop. No major tankers have safely passed without extreme risk, stranding millions of barrels of oil and gas behind the chokepoint.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This marks the largest single disruption ever recorded: more than double the impact of historical crises like the 1956 Suez Crisis (around 10% global supply affected) or the 1990\u201391 Gulf War. Analysts at Rapidan Energy describe it as \u201cabout as wrong as things could go\u201d for global oil markets, with no bypass routes sufficient to compensate. Saudi Arabia\u2019s East-West pipeline and UAE alternatives can redirect only about 3 million barrels per day at best\u2014leaving over 85% of Gulf exports stranded.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Iran\u2019s actions include retaliatory strikes on tankers attempting passage and vows from the IRGC that \u201cnot one litre\u201d of oil will export if attacks continue. This has forced shutdowns at key facilities: Iran\u2019s Kharg Island (handling 90% of its exports), major Gulf terminals, and even Qatar\u2019s LNG production, driving freight rates for gas tankers up over 40%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Oil Price Volatility: From $67 to Triple Digits in Days<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Before the war erupted, Brent crude hovered around $65\u2013$70 per barrel in late February. The initial strikes triggered modest gains, but as the Hormuz closure became evident by early March, prices accelerated:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>By March 1\u20132: Brent jumped 7\u201310% to the high $70s\u2013$80s amid early fears.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Mid-week escalations: Prices climbed steadily as disruptions mounted.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>March 8\u20139 peak: Brent surged as high as $119.50 intraday\u2014the highest since 2022\u2014on panic over prolonged shut-ins, before paring back.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>March 10: Volatility persisted, with prices dipping toward $93 after President Trump\u2019s comments that the war is \u201cvery complete\u201d and could end \u201cvery soon,\u201d but remaining elevated due to ongoing uncertainty.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Experts warn of further upside: Goldman Sachs and others project $130\u2013$150 per barrel if the strait remains depressed through March, or even $200 in extreme scenarios. JP Morgan notes that seizing Iran\u2019s Kharg Island could halve output and trigger retaliation, worsening the shock. The International Energy Agency and analysts like Neil Atkinson call this an \u201cunprecedented energy crisis\u201d with \u201csky is the limit\u201d potential.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) has followed suit, briefly exceeding $119 before settling in the mid-$90s. Gasoline prices in the U.S. have risen nearly 50 cents per gallon nationally (to around $3.41), with sharper jumps in some regions, squeezing households amid already high inflation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Global Economic Ripples: From Inflation to Food Security<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The shockwaves extend far beyond fuel pumps. Every sustained $10\/barrel increase adds roughly 0.4 percentage points to global inflation and trims economic output by 0.2%, per IMF estimates. Developing nations face acute pain:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Africa and Asia<\/strong>: Heavy importers like India (80% oil imported, half from Gulf) and China (major buyer of Iranian and Gulf crude) see soaring import bills, currency pressures, and inflation. Fertilizer and food costs rise as energy-intensive agriculture suffers.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Europe<\/strong>: Already energy-stressed, faces higher heating and industrial costs; allies discuss defensive missions to reopen the strait.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>U.S.<\/strong>: Domestic gasoline hikes threaten consumer spending; Trump administration seeks ways to mitigate \u201cpain at the pump.\u201d<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Natural gas markets are equally disrupted, with LNG prices spiking and supplies from Qatar halted. Broader effects include stock market volatility, supply chain strains, and risks to fragile economies in regions like Pakistan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Outlook: Relief or Prolonged Crisis?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trump\u2019s recent signals of a swift end have provided temporary relief, causing intraday drops, but warnings of \u201ctwenty times harder\u201d retaliation if flows are blocked keep markets on edge. Iran shows no signs of backing down, with its new Supreme Leader vowing resistance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Until tanker traffic resumes\u2014whether through de-escalation, military escorts, or diminished Iranian threats\u2014the largest energy crisis in history persists. Bypass options are limited, repairs to damaged facilities could take weeks or months, and global inventories offer scant buffer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Juba Global News Network continues to track this unfolding crisis. For the latest on oil markets, energy security, and geopolitical developments, visit <strong>JubaGlobal.com<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Sources: Aggregated from Reuters, CNBC, BBC, The New York Times, CSIS, Al Jazeera, NPR, Goldman Sachs, Rapidan Energy, Vortexa, EIA, and market data as of March 10, 2026.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By Juba Global News Network | JubaGlobal.comMarch 10, 2026The ongoing U.S.-Israel war with Iran, now&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1199,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[830,842,643,1,782],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6761","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-breaking-news","category-economy-news","category-more-articles","category-news","category-world"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/directtopic.com\/jubaglobal.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6761","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/directtopic.com\/jubaglobal.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/directtopic.com\/jubaglobal.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/directtopic.com\/jubaglobal.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1199"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/directtopic.com\/jubaglobal.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6761"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/directtopic.com\/jubaglobal.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6761\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6763,"href":"https:\/\/directtopic.com\/jubaglobal.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6761\/revisions\/6763"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/directtopic.com\/jubaglobal.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6761"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/directtopic.com\/jubaglobal.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6761"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/directtopic.com\/jubaglobal.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6761"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}